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Red409
188176.7
610231.5
998760.1
Blue214
1285153.9
2708179.5
6336125.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40628602006008001,0001,200409214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
Unranked
231.50.0
231.5231.5
Auto24.0
Teleop169.4
End33.3
red by 52.0
2708
Unranked
179.50.0
179.5179.5
Auto23.1
Teleop137.5
End18.6
Second
188
Unranked
176.70.0
176.7176.7
Auto22.0
Teleop132.3
End24.2
red by 22.8
1285
Unranked
153.90.0
153.9153.9
Auto19.1
Teleop113.0
End19.8
Third
9987
Unranked
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 65.0
6336
Unranked
125.20.0
125.2125.2
Auto17.4
Teleop96.7
End11.1