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Red257
2708179.5
1075110.7
4476192.2
Blue355
5031131.7
1285153.9
4678192.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3643120100200500600700800257355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
Unranked
192.20.0
192.2192.2
Auto21.4
Teleop153.9
End16.2
blue by 0.6
4678
Unranked
192.80.0
192.8192.8
Auto24.8
Teleop151.1
End14.6
Second
2708
Unranked
179.50.0
179.5179.5
Auto23.1
Teleop137.5
End18.6
red by 25.6
1285
Unranked
153.90.0
153.9153.9
Auto19.1
Teleop113.0
End19.8
Third
1075
Unranked
110.70.0
110.7110.7
Auto18.5
Teleop80.6
End13.3
blue by 21.1
5031
Unranked
131.70.0
131.7131.7
Auto18.5
Teleop99.2
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest odds68%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds9%Face the Boss odds