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Red399
3683160.3
4678192.8
4476192.2
Blue163
6632137.3
610231.5
6867146.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3923150200600800399163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4678
Unranked
192.80.0
192.8192.8
Auto24.8
Teleop151.1
End14.6
blue by 38.7
610
Unranked
231.50.0
231.5231.5
Auto24.0
Teleop169.4
End33.3
Second
4476
Unranked
192.20.0
192.2192.2
Auto21.4
Teleop153.9
End16.2
red by 45.6
6867
Unranked
146.60.0
146.6146.6
Auto22.8
Teleop105.0
End19.3
Third
3683
Unranked
160.30.0
160.3160.3
Auto15.7
Teleop123.9
End21.8
red by 23.0
6632
Unranked
137.30.0
137.3137.3
Auto19.0
Teleop100.9
End18.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest odds95%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss odds34%Face the Boss odds