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Red281
5031131.7
1241202.9
2706179.6
Blue400
5834129.1
610231.5
1075110.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4003020100200500600700800281400

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
Unranked
202.90.0
202.9202.9
Auto24.2
Teleop156.5
End20.3
blue by 28.6
610
Unranked
231.50.0
231.5231.5
Auto24.0
Teleop169.4
End33.3
Second
2706
Unranked
179.60.0
179.6179.6
Auto20.0
Teleop135.1
End22.0
red by 50.4
5834
Unranked
129.10.0
129.1129.1
Auto15.6
Teleop91.5
End23.3
Third
5031
Unranked
131.70.0
131.7131.7
Auto18.5
Teleop99.2
End15.3
red by 21.1
1075
Unranked
110.70.0
110.7110.7
Auto18.5
Teleop80.6
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest odds78%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
22%Face the Boss odds27%Face the Boss odds