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Red257
4343146.1
2706179.6
6378163.4
Blue283
1285153.9
4476192.2
2935134.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3353520100200300400500600700257283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2706
Unranked
179.60.0
179.6179.6
Auto20.0
Teleop135.1
End22.0
blue by 12.7
4476
Unranked
192.20.0
192.2192.2
Auto21.4
Teleop153.9
End16.2
Second
6378
Unranked
163.40.0
163.4163.4
Auto22.6
Teleop121.8
End19.0
red by 9.5
1285
Unranked
153.90.0
153.9153.9
Auto19.1
Teleop113.0
End19.8
Third
4343
Unranked
146.10.0
146.1146.1
Auto19.5
Teleop100.7
End25.3
red by 11.9
2935
Unranked
134.20.0
134.2134.2
Auto19.3
Teleop106.3
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest odds61%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss odds6%Face the Boss odds