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Red323
5834129.1
2708179.5
4678192.8
Blue322
188176.7
3683160.3
5596159.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32937802006008001,000323322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4678
Unranked
192.80.0
192.8192.8
Auto24.8
Teleop151.1
End14.6
red by 16.1
188
Unranked
176.70.0
176.7176.7
Auto22.0
Teleop132.3
End24.2
Second
2708
Unranked
179.50.0
179.5179.5
Auto23.1
Teleop137.5
End18.6
red by 19.3
3683
Unranked
160.30.0
160.3160.3
Auto15.7
Teleop123.9
End21.8
Third
5834
Unranked
129.10.0
129.1129.1
Auto15.6
Teleop91.5
End23.3
blue by 30.1
5596
Unranked
159.20.0
159.2159.2
Auto20.5
Teleop110.9
End28.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest odds48%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss odds35%Face the Boss odds