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Red261
6336125.2
4343146.1
5596159.2
Blue309
6867146.6
4476192.2
1241202.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25643302006008001,000261309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5596
Unranked
159.20.0
159.2159.2
Auto20.5
Teleop110.9
End28.3
blue by 43.7
1241
Unranked
202.90.0
202.9202.9
Auto24.2
Teleop156.5
End20.3
Second
4343
Unranked
146.10.0
146.1146.1
Auto19.5
Teleop100.7
End25.3
blue by 46.1
4476
Unranked
192.20.0
192.2192.2
Auto21.4
Teleop153.9
End16.2
Third
6336
Unranked
125.20.0
125.2125.2
Auto17.4
Teleop96.7
End11.1
blue by 21.4
6867
Unranked
146.60.0
146.6146.6
Auto22.8
Teleop105.0
End19.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest odds91%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss odds23%Face the Boss odds