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Red259
4992142.9
4914138.6
5031131.7
Blue315
2935134.2
998760.1
4152123.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37426402006008001,000259315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4992
#11
142.90.0
142.9142.9
Auto17.3
Teleop110.5
End19.0
red by 8.6
2935
#19
134.20.0
134.2134.2
Auto19.3
Teleop106.3
End9.0
Second
138.60.0
138.6138.6
Auto16.4
Teleop108.5
End12.9
red by 14.7
4152
#13
123.80.0
123.8123.8
Auto17.1
Teleop88.6
End19.4
Third
5031
#17
131.70.0
131.7131.7
Auto18.5
Teleop99.2
End15.3
red by 71.6
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9