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Red225
5031131.7
5921110.3
2935134.2
Blue285
6110149.5
3571100.6
4951119.1
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3132930100200400500600225285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2935
#19
134.20.0
134.2134.2
Auto19.3
Teleop106.3
End9.0
blue by 15.3
149.50.0
149.5149.5
Auto19.8
Teleop111.5
End16.3
Second
5031
#17
131.70.0
131.7131.7
Auto18.5
Teleop99.2
End15.3
red by 12.6
119.10.0
119.1119.1
Auto16.4
Teleop89.3
End12.7
Third
5921
#22
110.30.0
110.3110.3
Auto18.4
Teleop82.8
End9.2
red by 9.7
100.60.0
100.6100.6
Auto13.7
Teleop81.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest odds42%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds2%Face the Boss odds