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Red240
865198.0
697789.9
2634146.9
Blue496
4992142.9
4914138.6
5031131.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3553010200400600800240496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#18
198.00.0
198.0198.0
Auto24.6
Teleop147.3
End26.0
red by 55.1
4992
#11
142.90.0
142.9142.9
Auto17.3
Teleop110.5
End19.0
Second
2634
#23
146.90.0
146.9146.9
Auto15.7
Teleop108.0
End22.2
red by 8.4
138.60.0
138.6138.6
Auto16.4
Teleop108.5
End12.9
Third
6977
#12
89.90.0
89.989.9
Auto15.9
Teleop70.1
End3.0
blue by 41.8
5031
#17
131.70.0
131.7131.7
Auto18.5
Teleop99.2
End15.3