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Red463
1241230.0
2056243.8
6135115.6
Blue339
5406196.3
4976189.1
4308130.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445319200400500600700800463339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
243.80.4
243.4243.8
Auto30.1
Teleop173.0
End43.5
red by 47.5
196.30.2
196.1196.3
Auto23.7
Teleop135.9
End36.7
Second
230.00.0
229.9230.0
Auto25.2
Teleop174.7
End31.2
red by 40.9
189.10.1
189.0189.1
Auto19.8
Teleop147.3
End21.4
Third
6135
#21
115.60.1
115.7115.6
Auto16.9
Teleop86.8
End13.6
blue by 14.5
4308
#26
130.10.0
130.1130.1
Auto18.1
Teleop100.1
End13.4