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Red455
188152.6
4069127.8
6878122.0
Blue311
2386151.0
4039168.8
3161154.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253381100200300500600455311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#8
152.60.4
150.6151.0
Auto22.0
Teleop115.8
End17.3
blue by 16.2
168.80.1
169.0169.0
Auto26.9
Teleop132.0
End7.7
Second
127.80.8
124.4125.2
Auto19.4
Teleop90.1
End20.7
blue by 26.9
3161
#15
154.70.0
154.7154.7
Auto15.9
Teleop121.2
End18.4
Third
6878
#25
122.00.2
120.6120.9
Auto15.2
Teleop91.3
End16.3
blue by 28.9
2386
#20
151.00.1
150.9151.0
Auto15.5
Teleop117.9
End16.1