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Red461
6135115.6
4976189.1
2200177.4
Blue332
188152.6
5921110.3
4618173.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384311200500600700461332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
189.11.6
181.4183.0
Auto19.8
Teleop147.3
End21.4
red by 15.6
4618
#22
173.41.4
166.6168.0
Auto18.9
Teleop129.4
End23.5
Second
177.41.6
169.3170.9
Auto23.1
Teleop113.9
End42.4
red by 24.7
188
#8
152.60.7
151.0151.7
Auto22.0
Teleop115.8
End17.3
Third
6135
#21
115.60.9
111.1112.0
Auto16.9
Teleop86.8
End13.6
red by 5.3
5921
#18
110.30.2
115.0115.2
Auto18.4
Teleop82.8
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed