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Red386
1325201.7
6878122.0
3161154.7
Blue203
5406196.3
5699102.8
6130126.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381304100200500600700386203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201.71.3
198.8200.1
Auto22.6
Teleop152.2
End25.5
red by 5.3
196.31.5
195.1196.6
Auto23.7
Teleop135.9
End36.7
Second
3161
#15
154.71.1
142.0143.1
Auto15.9
Teleop121.2
End18.4
red by 28.0
6130
#37
126.71.3
130.8132.1
Auto17.6
Teleop91.5
End15.8
Third
6878
#25
122.00.2
117.0116.8
Auto15.2
Teleop91.3
End16.3
red by 19.2
5699
#23
102.80.4
111.1111.6
Auto19.7
Teleop80.9
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsMissed77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed37%Face the Boss oddsMissed