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Red400
3683180.0
6878122.0
4976189.1
Blue78
5921110.3
1325201.7
1374122.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37331510020040050060040078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
189.11.6
183.0184.6
Auto19.8
Teleop147.3
End21.4
blue by 12.6
201.71.2
200.1201.3
Auto22.6
Teleop152.2
End25.5
Second
3683
#14
180.01.5
169.9171.4
Auto22.1
Teleop131.8
End25.8
red by 58.0
1374
#30
122.00.1
130.6130.5
Auto17.2
Teleop90.0
End14.7
Third
6878
#25
122.00.1
116.8116.7
Auto15.2
Teleop91.3
End16.3
red by 11.8
5921
#18
110.30.3
115.2115.5
Auto18.4
Teleop82.8
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsMissed68%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed