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Red313
4069127.8
4902103.3
2609158.6
Blue277
2386151.0
3571126.6
6130126.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274358100200400500600313277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2609
#16
158.61.5
159.2157.7
Auto25.3
Teleop115.7
End19.5
red by 7.6
2386
#20
151.02.1
143.0145.1
Auto15.5
Teleop117.9
End16.1
Second
127.82.0
106.5108.5
Auto19.4
Teleop90.1
End20.7
red by 1.1
6130
#37
126.70.0
132.1132.2
Auto17.6
Teleop91.5
End15.8
Third
4902
#36
103.31.1
103.7104.7
Auto16.3
Teleop77.1
End7.1
blue by 23.4
3571
#35
126.61.6
124.2125.9
Auto15.4
Teleop98.8
End15.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed