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Red264
6135115.6
6339107.4
6537121.0
Blue444
6342133.3
3161154.7
1374122.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2423450100200300400500600264444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6537
#29
121.01.0
116.0117.0
Auto17.9
Teleop90.9
End12.8
blue by 33.7
3161
#15
154.71.4
144.1145.5
Auto15.9
Teleop121.2
End18.4
Second
6135
#21
115.60.8
113.0113.8
Auto16.9
Teleop86.8
End13.6
blue by 17.7
6342
#31
133.30.4
133.2132.8
Auto20.0
Teleop98.3
End13.6
Third
6339
#32
107.40.5
104.5105.0
Auto16.0
Teleop77.7
End16.5
blue by 14.6
1374
#30
122.01.7
130.5128.9
Auto17.2
Teleop90.0
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed