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Red376
4519118.6
3161154.7
2935134.2
Blue251
1374122.0
2609158.6
6878122.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326299200250350400450376251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3161
#15
154.70.9
148.6149.5
Auto15.9
Teleop121.2
End18.4
blue by 3.9
2609
#16
158.60.4
156.2156.6
Auto25.3
Teleop115.7
End19.5
Second
2935
#38
134.21.4
131.0132.4
Auto19.3
Teleop106.3
End9.0
red by 12.2
6878
#25
122.00.4
117.5117.9
Auto15.2
Teleop91.3
End16.3
Third
4519
#28
118.60.3
121.1120.8
Auto17.6
Teleop88.3
End11.7
blue by 3.4
1374
#30
122.01.0
127.8126.8
Auto17.2
Teleop90.0
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed