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Red401
3560117.3
3571126.6
2609158.6
Blue171
646194.7
5699102.8
2935134.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3632060100300400500600401171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2609
#16
158.60.0
156.6156.6
Auto25.3
Teleop115.7
End19.5
red by 24.3
2935
#38
134.21.8
132.4134.2
Auto19.3
Teleop106.3
End9.0
Second
3571
#35
126.60.3
127.2126.9
Auto15.4
Teleop98.8
End15.6
red by 23.8
5699
#23
102.81.7
105.2103.4
Auto19.7
Teleop80.9
End6.4
Third
3560
#10
117.31.2
109.0110.2
Auto16.3
Teleop91.5
End9.9
red by 22.6
6461
#33
94.71.8
99.697.9
Auto18.5
Teleop71.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed