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Red422
5409132.5
6135115.6
2056243.8
Blue289
6130126.7
3161154.7
6632134.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383268100200300500600422289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
243.81.5
234.4235.9
Auto30.1
Teleop173.0
End43.5
red by 89.2
3161
#15
154.71.8
150.9152.7
Auto15.9
Teleop121.2
End18.4
Second
5409
#11
132.51.1
129.7130.8
Auto17.2
Teleop96.8
End17.0
blue by 1.5
6632
#24
134.01.1
129.8130.9
Auto17.8
Teleop102.9
End16.1
Third
6135
#21
115.60.7
115.9115.2
Auto16.9
Teleop86.8
End13.6
blue by 11.1
6130
#37
126.71.5
131.2129.7
Auto17.6
Teleop91.5
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
43%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed