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Red395
4618173.4
4992142.0
5699102.8
Blue317
6323155.6
2609158.6
6537121.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2843370100200400500600395317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4618
#22
173.40.2
171.8171.7
Auto18.9
Teleop129.4
End23.5
red by 14.8
2609
#16
158.60.6
156.6157.2
Auto25.3
Teleop115.7
End19.5
Second
4992
#17
142.00.8
143.1142.3
Auto18.0
Teleop106.3
End16.8
blue by 13.6
6323
#19
155.60.6
155.4154.8
Auto19.6
Teleop111.9
End25.3
Third
5699
#23
102.81.5
103.4101.9
Auto19.7
Teleop80.9
End6.4
blue by 18.1
6537
#29
121.00.5
120.0120.4
Auto17.9
Teleop90.9
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed