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Red450
5699102.8
2056243.8
5776109.8
Blue134
4992142.0
6130126.7
2935134.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions379277100200500600450134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
243.81.7
235.9237.6
Auto30.1
Teleop173.0
End43.5
red by 101.8
4992
#17
142.00.5
142.3142.8
Auto18.0
Teleop106.3
End16.8
Second
5776
#27
109.81.5
111.5110.0
Auto16.7
Teleop85.8
End7.0
blue by 24.4
2935
#38
134.20.2
135.5135.7
Auto19.3
Teleop106.3
End9.0
Third
5699
#23
102.80.1
101.9101.8
Auto19.7
Teleop80.9
End6.4
blue by 23.8
6130
#37
126.71.2
129.7128.5
Auto17.6
Teleop91.5
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
34%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed