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Red418
4618173.4
5409132.5
2386151.0
Blue324
6878122.0
2935134.2
2200177.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365307100200400500600418324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4618
#22
173.41.0
165.6166.6
Auto18.9
Teleop129.4
End23.5
blue by 3.9
177.42.0
167.3169.3
Auto23.1
Teleop113.9
End42.4
Second
2386
#20
151.01.7
139.3141.0
Auto15.5
Teleop117.9
End16.1
red by 16.7
2935
#38
134.20.7
125.9126.7
Auto19.3
Teleop106.3
End9.0
Third
5409
#11
132.50.4
125.4125.8
Auto17.2
Teleop96.8
End17.0
red by 10.5
6878
#25
122.00.2
117.2117.0
Auto15.2
Teleop91.3
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsMissed