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Red446
4903175.6
4688139.9
5885127.5
Blue363
5596142.4
6378163.4
3739129.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349355250300400450500550446363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.60.4
175.2175.6
Auto23.3
Teleop123.8
End30.1
red by 12.3
163.40.3
163.1163.4
Auto22.0
Teleop122.7
End18.2
Second
139.90.3
139.7139.9
Auto20.7
Teleop104.6
End15.3
blue by 2.5
5596
#12
142.40.7
141.7142.4
Auto16.5
Teleop101.6
End25.3
Third
5885
#25
127.50.1
127.4127.5
Auto15.8
Teleop92.1
End20.6
blue by 1.9
3739
#37
129.40.3
129.1129.4
Auto15.8
Teleop97.2
End17.3