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Red422
5596142.4
6378163.4
3739129.4
Blue270
4940120.9
4814129.5
6052127.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions397269100200300500600700800422270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.40.1
161.8161.9
Auto22.0
Teleop122.7
End18.2
red by 33.9
4814
#11
129.50.2
129.3129.5
Auto19.6
Teleop98.6
End13.3
Second
5596
#12
142.40.7
137.9138.7
Auto16.5
Teleop101.6
End25.3
red by 14.7
6052
#21
127.80.3
127.5127.8
Auto16.5
Teleop89.5
End21.2
Third
3739
#37
129.40.1
128.1128.2
Auto15.8
Teleop97.2
End17.3
red by 8.5
4940
#19
120.90.0
120.9120.9
Auto18.8
Teleop89.8
End12.1