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Red324
4814129.5
5885127.5
5589122.5
Blue175
4688139.9
5033103.8
7022106.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297270100200400500324175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4814
#11
129.50.5
124.2123.7
Auto19.6
Teleop98.6
End13.3
blue by 10.5
139.90.3
125.6125.3
Auto20.7
Teleop104.6
End15.3
Second
5885
#25
127.50.2
134.7134.9
Auto15.8
Teleop92.1
End20.6
red by 21.4
7022
#16
106.11.0
100.2101.2
Auto13.8
Teleop77.0
End18.9
Third
5589
#23
122.51.1
121.7120.5
Auto19.9
Teleop91.6
End11.1
red by 18.7
5033
#38
103.816.7
68.585.2
Auto13.2
Teleop79.5
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed