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Red389
2702141.8
7058126.1
5821112.4
Blue277
6881116.0
616295.3
5483122.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2922540100200400500600389277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141.80.9
122.4123.3
Auto20.1
Teleop98.0
End26.1
red by 18.9
5483
#22
122.90.7
115.6116.4
Auto14.4
Teleop92.1
End19.5
Second
7058
#17
126.10.3
114.0114.2
Auto19.8
Teleop92.5
End16.1
red by 10.1
6881
#27
116.00.0
105.0105.0
Auto19.1
Teleop87.1
End11.2
Third
5821
#26
112.41.4
116.5115.2
Auto18.1
Teleop81.4
End12.8
red by 17.1
6162
#33
95.30.0
87.287.1
Auto16.5
Teleop73.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned11%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed