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Red157
4938107.8
5689116.4
5589122.5
Blue300
5426156.2
6052127.8
5288111.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304319100200400500157300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5589
#23
122.50.4
120.4120.8
Auto19.9
Teleop91.6
End11.1
blue by 33.7
156.20.4
148.7149.1
Auto20.0
Teleop106.7
End31.9
Second
5689
#28
116.40.9
123.4124.2
Auto14.8
Teleop87.0
End13.7
blue by 11.3
6052
#21
127.81.4
120.2121.6
Auto16.5
Teleop89.5
End21.2
Third
4938
#30
107.80.5
108.8109.3
Auto16.4
Teleop81.0
End7.4
blue by 3.2
5288
#31
111.10.4
109.9109.5
Auto16.9
Teleop84.2
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed