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Red327
781116.7
5596142.4
5483122.9
Blue281
4936147.1
4688139.9
4903175.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248429100200300500600700327281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5596
#12
142.42.5
118.6121.1
Auto16.5
Teleop101.6
End25.3
blue by 33.2
175.60.4
170.3170.7
Auto23.3
Teleop123.8
End30.1
Second
5483
#22
122.91.4
116.4117.8
Auto14.4
Teleop92.1
End19.5
blue by 24.1
4936
#10
147.10.8
148.5149.3
Auto21.1
Teleop105.6
End20.2
Third
781
#32
116.70.8
119.4118.5
Auto17.4
Teleop87.3
End8.5
blue by 23.2
139.91.9
127.1129.0
Auto20.7
Teleop104.6
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed