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Red292
4951119.1
4920138.4
6725127.0
Blue395
2702141.8
5039139.4
6856118.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296299200250350400292395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138.41.8
124.0125.8
Auto21.3
Teleop100.2
End17.8
blue by 3.4
141.81.4
123.3124.7
Auto20.1
Teleop98.0
End26.1
Second
6725
#20
127.00.3
131.2130.9
Auto16.6
Teleop95.5
End12.5
blue by 12.4
5039
#13
139.40.2
126.1126.0
Auto17.5
Teleop110.3
End12.3
Third
4951
#18
119.10.7
107.9108.6
Auto16.4
Teleop89.3
End12.7
red by 1.0
118.11.8
106.8108.6
Auto18.1
Teleop90.5
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed