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Red174
5689116.4
6992136.1
5483122.9
Blue424
5589122.5
3756113.5
2702141.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3442890100200400500600700174424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6992
#14
136.10.4
132.5132.9
Auto19.2
Teleop95.2
End20.5
blue by 5.7
141.81.5
124.7126.2
Auto20.1
Teleop98.0
End26.1
Second
5483
#22
122.91.4
117.8119.2
Auto14.4
Teleop92.1
End19.5
red by 0.4
5589
#23
122.50.2
120.8120.6
Auto19.9
Teleop91.6
End11.1
Third
5689
#28
116.40.1
124.2124.4
Auto14.8
Teleop87.0
End13.7
red by 3.0
3756
#24
113.50.1
113.0113.1
Auto15.7
Teleop83.5
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed