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Red500
5596142.4
6378163.4
5288111.1
Blue153
7058126.1
6725127.0
5033103.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324281100200400500500153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.40.1
155.7155.8
Auto22.0
Teleop122.7
End18.2
red by 36.3
6725
#20
127.00.1
130.9130.9
Auto16.6
Teleop95.5
End12.5
Second
5596
#12
142.41.9
123.3125.2
Auto16.5
Teleop101.6
End25.3
red by 16.4
7058
#17
126.11.7
116.7118.4
Auto19.8
Teleop92.5
End16.1
Third
5288
#31
111.10.7
109.2108.5
Auto16.9
Teleop84.2
End8.9
red by 7.2
5033
#38
103.80.9
113.0112.1
Auto13.2
Teleop79.5
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed