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Red299
5483122.9
5426156.2
4951119.1
Blue265
6052127.8
3739129.4
6992136.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333302100200400500600299265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.20.5
149.5150.0
Auto20.0
Teleop106.7
End31.9
red by 20.1
6992
#14
136.10.5
132.9132.4
Auto19.2
Teleop95.2
End20.5
Second
5483
#22
122.90.3
119.2119.5
Auto14.4
Teleop92.1
End19.5
blue by 6.4
3739
#37
129.40.1
127.3127.4
Auto15.8
Teleop97.2
End17.3
Third
4951
#18
119.11.1
109.4110.5
Auto16.4
Teleop89.3
End12.7
blue by 8.7
6052
#21
127.80.5
122.7123.2
Auto16.5
Teleop89.5
End21.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned8%Face the Boss oddsMissed