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Red476
5821112.4
5426156.2
2634143.8
Blue304
4903175.6
5589122.5
5288111.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332324200250300350400450500476304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.20.9
150.0150.9
Auto20.0
Teleop106.7
End31.9
blue by 19.4
175.60.3
170.0170.3
Auto23.3
Teleop123.8
End30.1
Second
143.82.1
130.3132.4
Auto14.5
Teleop106.0
End23.3
red by 21.3
5589
#23
122.50.4
121.2121.6
Auto19.9
Teleop91.6
End11.1
Third
5821
#26
112.40.8
114.3113.5
Auto18.1
Teleop81.4
End12.8
red by 1.3
5288
#31
111.10.6
108.5109.0
Auto16.9
Teleop84.2
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed75%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed