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Red250
4903175.6
5821112.4
5885127.5
Blue337
781116.7
5689116.4
5039139.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376255100200300500600250337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.60.5
170.3170.7
Auto23.3
Teleop123.8
End30.1
red by 36.2
5039
#13
139.41.2
128.7129.9
Auto17.5
Teleop110.3
End12.3
Second
5885
#25
127.51.3
132.4131.2
Auto15.8
Teleop92.1
End20.6
red by 10.8
781
#32
116.70.3
117.8117.5
Auto17.4
Teleop87.3
End8.5
Third
5821
#26
112.40.0
113.5113.5
Auto18.1
Teleop81.4
End12.8
blue by 4.0
5689
#28
116.42.1
121.7119.6
Auto14.8
Teleop87.0
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed