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Red310
5589122.5
4907116.1
6378163.4
Blue215
5483122.9
6854108.3
4940120.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355266100200300400500600310215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.41.3
157.1158.3
Auto22.0
Teleop122.7
End18.2
red by 40.4
5483
#22
122.90.3
120.2120.4
Auto14.4
Teleop92.1
End19.5
Second
5589
#23
122.50.6
121.6122.2
Auto19.9
Teleop91.6
End11.1
red by 1.7
4940
#19
120.90.5
119.9120.4
Auto18.8
Teleop89.8
End12.1
Third
4907
#15
116.10.7
113.9114.6
Auto14.4
Teleop85.0
End16.2
red by 7.9
6854
#36
108.30.6
109.6110.2
Auto12.7
Teleop84.7
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed