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Red527
4920138.4
7022106.1
2702141.8
Blue187
4688139.9
6725127.0
4938107.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313302200250350400450500527187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141.81.7
132.0133.7
Auto20.1
Teleop98.0
End26.1
red by 1.9
139.91.6
134.4136.0
Auto20.7
Teleop104.6
End15.3
Second
138.41.0
132.3133.3
Auto21.3
Teleop100.2
End17.8
red by 11.3
6725
#20
127.00.6
130.1129.5
Auto16.6
Teleop95.5
End12.5
Third
7022
#16
106.10.8
101.6102.5
Auto13.8
Teleop77.0
End18.9
blue by 1.7
4938
#30
107.80.1
109.3109.2
Auto16.4
Teleop81.0
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed