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Red454
2702141.8
6854108.3
5596142.4
Blue275
5821112.4
4940120.9
5288111.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353262200300400500600454275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5596
#12
142.42.0
135.1137.1
Auto16.5
Teleop101.6
End25.3
red by 21.6
4940
#19
120.90.2
120.7120.9
Auto18.8
Teleop89.8
End12.1
Second
141.82.0
135.8137.8
Auto20.1
Teleop98.0
End26.1
red by 29.4
5821
#26
112.40.5
111.9112.4
Auto18.1
Teleop81.4
End12.8
Third
6854
#36
108.31.1
109.4108.3
Auto12.7
Teleop84.7
End10.0
blue by 2.8
5288
#31
111.10.3
111.4111.1
Auto16.9
Teleop84.2
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed