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Red403
4525180.2
2702141.8
7058126.1
Blue352
4903175.6
4688139.9
5885127.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371365300350400450500403352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.20.1
180.1180.1
Auto26.0
Teleop128.5
End25.3
red by 4.6
175.60.7
172.5173.1
Auto23.3
Teleop123.8
End30.1
Second
141.80.9
139.5140.4
Auto20.1
Teleop98.0
End26.1
red by 1.9
139.90.5
137.8138.2
Auto20.7
Teleop104.6
End15.3
Third
7058
#17
126.10.6
124.4125.0
Auto19.8
Teleop92.5
End16.1
blue by 1.4
5885
#25
127.50.2
126.5126.7
Auto15.8
Teleop92.1
End20.6