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Red389
1305213.7
4917215.2
6987101.9
Blue315
4476203.5
2708159.1
5834124.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402323100200500600700389315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
215.20.5
214.7215.2
Auto29.3
Teleop147.2
End40.2
red by 11.7
203.50.1
203.4203.5
Auto27.3
Teleop155.8
End19.5
Second
213.70.5
213.2213.7
Auto22.8
Teleop150.9
End39.6
red by 54.6
159.10.0
159.1159.1
Auto19.5
Teleop123.5
End15.4
Third
6987
#31
101.90.1
101.8101.9
Auto14.9
Teleop76.4
End10.1
blue by 22.6
5834
#24
124.50.1
124.7124.5
Auto15.3
Teleop90.3
End18.9