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Red291
2013148.5
4968133.3
1075118.5
Blue280
6110141.5
6978142.9
6859122.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322327250300350400450291280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#17
148.50.2
147.5147.7
Auto19.0
Teleop111.4
End20.3
red by 5.6
142.90.3
142.3142.6
Auto19.2
Teleop110.7
End12.9
Second
133.30.4
131.7132.1
Auto18.1
Teleop98.6
End18.8
blue by 8.2
141.50.3
141.0141.3
Auto18.2
Teleop107.5
End18.3
Third
1075
#22
118.50.2
117.7117.9
Auto16.8
Teleop84.8
End17.7
blue by 3.9
6859
#20
122.40.1
122.3122.4
Auto16.1
Teleop90.7
End15.8