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Red393
4476203.5
2708159.1
5834124.5
Blue129
4069104.8
4152123.8
6864103.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4361840100300400500600700800393129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.50.3
202.0202.3
Auto27.3
Teleop155.8
End19.5
red by 79.6
4152
#10
123.80.4
123.1123.5
Auto17.1
Teleop88.6
End19.4
Second
159.10.2
158.0158.2
Auto19.5
Teleop123.5
End15.4
red by 54.3
4069
#28
104.80.0
104.9104.9
Auto17.8
Teleop73.1
End14.2
Third
5834
#24
124.50.0
124.4124.5
Auto15.3
Teleop90.3
End18.9
red by 21.5
6864
#21
103.00.0
103.2103.2
Auto16.9
Teleop78.9
End4.6