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Red167
6514128.1
4343156.3
6864103.0
Blue409
2994137.0
6978142.9
4678181.9
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2663590100200300400500600167409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4343
#12
156.32.2
153.9156.1
Auto23.1
Teleop106.2
End26.9
blue by 25.7
181.91.7
160.5162.1
Auto24.2
Teleop141.9
End15.5
Second
6514
#19
128.11.0
120.8119.8
Auto16.5
Teleop95.1
End20.0
blue by 14.8
142.90.9
127.2128.1
Auto19.2
Teleop110.7
End12.9
Third
6864
#21
103.00.1
103.0103.1
Auto16.9
Teleop78.9
End4.6
blue by 33.9
137.00.1
127.3127.3
Auto15.5
Teleop103.2
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsMissed52%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed