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Red295
4678181.9
7329139.0
6864103.0
Blue285
6978142.9
3543113.6
6987101.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3552280100300400500600700295285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.91.9
162.1164.1
Auto24.2
Teleop141.9
End15.5
red by 39.0
142.91.2
128.1129.3
Auto19.2
Teleop110.7
End12.9
Second
7329
#11
139.00.8
128.8129.7
Auto20.7
Teleop103.8
End21.2
red by 25.5
3543
#16
113.60.1
109.7109.5
Auto17.7
Teleop85.4
End13.8
Third
6864
#21
103.00.2
103.1102.9
Auto16.9
Teleop78.9
End4.6
red by 1.1
6987
#31
101.90.1
99.599.6
Auto14.9
Teleop76.4
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned49%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed