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Red221
3543113.6
6514128.1
4519119.0
Blue285
6859122.4
6336117.4
7329139.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30126802004006008001,0001,2001,400221285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6514
#19
128.10.8
121.6120.8
Auto16.5
Teleop95.1
End20.0
blue by 10.9
7329
#11
139.00.4
127.7128.1
Auto20.7
Teleop103.8
End21.2
Second
4519
#23
119.014.6
87.3101.9
Auto18.6
Teleop86.6
End14.2
blue by 3.4
6859
#20
122.41.3
119.0117.7
Auto16.1
Teleop90.7
End15.8
Third
3543
#16
113.60.1
110.3110.1
Auto17.7
Teleop85.4
End13.8
blue by 3.8
6336
#15
117.40.0
110.1110.1
Auto16.8
Teleop88.1
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed