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Red124
478391.4
1075118.5
771101.4
Blue260
5834124.5
4519119.0
6864103.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2342960100200400500600700124260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1075
#22
118.50.3
115.8115.5
Auto16.8
Teleop84.8
End17.7
blue by 6.0
5834
#24
124.50.1
123.9123.8
Auto15.3
Teleop90.3
End18.9
Second
771
#18
101.40.3
96.196.3
Auto14.4
Teleop79.2
End5.0
blue by 17.6
4519
#23
119.00.6
115.8115.1
Auto18.6
Teleop86.6
End14.2
Third
4783
#26
91.41.9
98.096.0
Auto16.5
Teleop69.2
End8.2
blue by 11.6
6864
#21
103.00.5
102.9102.4
Auto16.9
Teleop78.9
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed