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Red470
4678181.9
2013148.5
5672118.9
Blue196
7267108.7
5834124.5
6336117.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3792090100300500600700470196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.91.7
165.2166.9
Auto24.2
Teleop141.9
End15.5
red by 57.4
5834
#24
124.50.5
123.8123.2
Auto15.3
Teleop90.3
End18.9
Second
2013
#17
148.51.6
141.9143.5
Auto19.0
Teleop111.4
End20.3
red by 31.1
6336
#15
117.41.2
113.3114.5
Auto16.8
Teleop88.1
End9.6
Third
5672
#27
118.92.1
124.9122.9
Auto16.9
Teleop89.6
End11.5
red by 10.2
7267
#32
108.71.8
120.8119.0
Auto15.3
Teleop92.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed