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Red229
6987101.9
6514128.1
4678181.9
Blue458
1305213.7
6978142.9
771101.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289362200400500600229458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.92.8
175.9178.7
Auto24.2
Teleop141.9
End15.5
blue by 31.8
213.71.6
204.4206.0
Auto22.8
Teleop150.9
End39.6
Second
6514
#19
128.11.7
123.8125.4
Auto16.5
Teleop95.1
End20.0
blue by 14.8
142.91.3
137.7139.0
Auto19.2
Teleop110.7
End12.9
Third
6987
#31
101.90.2
101.2101.4
Auto14.9
Teleop76.4
End10.1
red by 0.5
771
#18
101.40.8
99.199.9
Auto14.4
Teleop79.2
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsMissed62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed