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Red240
2013148.5
2706173.9
5834124.5
Blue439
4476203.5
6865100.8
3543113.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33431302004006008001,0001,200240439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2706
#13
173.90.9
172.2173.1
Auto21.4
Teleop126.4
End26.2
blue by 29.5
203.52.2
194.8197.0
Auto27.3
Teleop155.8
End19.5
Second
2013
#17
148.50.3
148.1147.9
Auto19.0
Teleop111.4
End20.3
red by 34.9
3543
#16
113.60.1
111.7111.8
Auto17.7
Teleop85.4
End13.8
Third
5834
#24
124.50.8
122.5123.3
Auto15.3
Teleop90.3
End18.9
red by 23.8
6865
#14
100.80.5
97.898.3
Auto15.2
Teleop75.9
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed