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Red422
4476203.5
2708159.1
5834124.5
Blue216
2706173.9
4678181.9
4914150.0
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3613340100200400500600700800422216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.50.3
202.9203.1
Auto27.3
Teleop155.8
End19.5
red by 21.5
181.90.1
181.8181.9
Auto24.2
Teleop141.9
End15.5
Second
159.10.2
158.6158.8
Auto19.5
Teleop123.5
End15.4
blue by 14.8
2706
#13
173.90.1
173.9173.9
Auto21.4
Teleop126.4
End26.2
Third
5834
#24
124.50.0
124.6124.6
Auto15.3
Teleop90.3
End18.9
blue by 25.5
4914
#25
150.00.0
150.0150.0
Auto17.9
Teleop112.5
End18.9